In response to the atypical weather conditions observed in recent weeks, which are generating a high level of uncertainty around the development of the season, PROARANDANOS (the association of Peruvian blueberry producers and exporters) has decided to publish a first projection with an exclusively short-term approach.
The current scenario does not yet allow sufficiently reliable estimates to be provided for the close of the season — whose horizon extends through April 2027 — and communicating aggregate figures for the entire season would therefore be premature. Consequently, and with the commitment to keep the sector informed in a timely and rigorous manner, a projection limited to the next 10 weeks is being presented.
According to the most recent information provided by producers and exporters, Peru expects to export approximately 56 million kilograms of fresh blueberries from the beginning of the season through week 33 of the year.
This projected volume — higher than that recorded in the same period of the 2025-26 season — is mainly due to the entry into production of approximately 3,000 new hectares, the progressive maturation of plantations entering their second productive year, and a greater share of early varieties in the production calendar.
With this development, Peru would reach more than 27,000 hectares in production during the current season, with Sekoya Pop and Ventura as the most representative varieties in terms of surface area.
A projection referring only to the initial phase of the season
It is important to point out that this projection reflects the performance of the initial phase of the season, a period during which the increase in temperatures currently being observed had not yet occurred.
This increase could affect flowering and fruit development during the peak of the season. For this reason, the volumes indicated here do not necessarily anticipate the trend for the rest of the season.
The higher volume expected in this phase is linked to the growth in productive area, the consolidation of early varieties, and the gradual return of production curves that had been shifted following El Niño 2023.
Given the imminent possibility of a new event of this nature, a reduction in productivity during the middle phase of the season cannot be ruled out. This effect could be partially offset by the contribution of the new areas entering production and by a probable extension of the export period.
New estimates once the climate outlook becomes clearer
Estimates for the full period will be communicated when climate and production developments make it possible to reduce the level of uncertainty and provide greater visibility on the development of the season.
PROARANDANOS will continue to permanently monitor climate and production trends, consolidating on a weekly basis the information submitted by producers and exporters.
In this context, the association plans to carry out a new review of the production and export outlook over the next four weeks, with the aim of publishing an update of the present projection.
The time horizon of that update will be defined according to the quality and stability of the information available at the time of its preparation.
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