Peru has revised down its fresh blueberry export forecast for the 2026/27 season. Proarándanos’ fifth projection puts the final volume at approximately 366,000 tonnes, down 4.4% from the previous season, despite an increase of around 15% in hectares in production. Over the next eight weeks, volumes are expected to fall by 31.2%.
The Peruvian blueberry season is changing pace. Following a strong start, recent weeks have seen a contraction in export volumes, prompting Proarándanos to lower its forecast for the 2026/27 season total.
Based on information submitted by Peru’s fresh blueberry growers and exporters, the association now estimates total exports of approximately 366,000 tonnes. This is 4.2% below the 382,000 tonnes forecast in September and 4.4% below the 383,000 tonnes exported in the previous season.
The revision is particularly significant because it comes despite an increase of around 15% in the area in production: the expansion of the production base would therefore be insufficient to offset the decline in volumes anticipated by the association.
Peruvian blueberry exports – week 38 update
Early growth masks the shift in trend
Through week 38, Peru had exported 136,000 tonnes of fresh blueberries, an increase of 18.7% compared with the 115,000 tonnes shipped during the same period of the previous season.
The cumulative figure therefore remains positive, but, Proarándanos stresses, it does not reflect the sharp shift in trend seen in recent weeks, which have been marked by a significant decline in export volumes.
For operators planning their sourcing, this distinction matters: the lead built up during the first part of the season sits alongside a forecast of lower availability for the subsequent period.
A decline of more than 30% over the next eight weeks
From week 39 through to the end of the season, Proarándanos forecasts exports of approximately 229,000 tonnes, down 14.2% from the 268,000 tonnes shipped during the same period of the 2025/26 season.
The reduction is concentrated mainly in the eight weeks following week 38. For this period, the association estimates 108,000 tonnes, compared with 156,000 tonnes in the previous season: approximately 48,000 tonnes less, with the press release reporting a decline of 31.2%.
Rather than a distinct export peak, the forecast points to a plateau, averaging approximately 13,500 tonnes per week. This distribution of volumes changes the profile of Peruvian supply during the period concerned.
Organic blueberries: the peak shifts to week 47
For the organic segment, the season-end forecast stands at 24,900 tonnes.
The weekly peak is expected in week 47, at approximately 1,100 tonnes. In the previous season, the peak was reached in week 40, at around 1,900 tonnes.
The projection therefore points to a later and smaller peak for organic blueberries compared with the previous season.
Peruvian organic blueberry exports – week 38 update
El Niño has a greater impact than expected
According to Proarándanos, the update confirms that El Niño’s impact is proving more severe than initially anticipated, in sharp contrast with the strong start to the season.
The outlook remains subject to revision. The association has announced a further update within two weeks and will continue to publish projections more frequently for as long as these conditions persist, providing the industry with timely information on the evolution of supply.
Source: Proarándanos
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